Papers
This section presents a collection of AHP/ANP papers. Whether you are a student, academic and/or professional in the field of decision making, you can help us expand this collection by sharing your papers on decision making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Analytic Network Process (ANP).
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Paper results for keyword: ProbabilityThe Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction
Thomas Saaty, Lei ZhangJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThere are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...
Read MoreUncertainty and rank order in the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: European Journal of Operational ResearchThe Analytic Hierarchy Process uses paired comparisons to derive a scale of relative importance for alternatives. We investigate the effect of uncertainty in judgment on the stability of the rank order of alternatives. The uncertainty experienced by decision makers in making comparisons is measur...
Read MoreDecision-making under uncertainty – the integrated approach of the AHP and Bayesian analysis
Predrag Mimovic, Jelena Stankovic, Vesna Janković MilicJournal: Economic Research-Ekonomska IstraživanjaIn situations where it is necessary to perform a large number of experiments in order to collect adequate statistical data which require expert analysis and assessment, there is a need to define a model that will include and coordinate statistical data and experts’ opinions. This article points o...
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The Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction
Thomas Saaty, Lei ZhangJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThere are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...
Read MoreUncertainty and rank order in the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: European Journal of Operational ResearchThe Analytic Hierarchy Process uses paired comparisons to derive a scale of relative importance for alternatives. We investigate the effect of uncertainty in judgment on the stability of the rank order of alternatives. The uncertainty experienced by decision makers in making comparisons is measur...
Read MoreDecision-making under uncertainty – the integrated approach of the AHP and Bayesian analysis
Predrag Mimovic, Jelena Stankovic, Vesna Janković MilicJournal: Economic Research-Ekonomska IstraživanjaIn situations where it is necessary to perform a large number of experiments in order to collect adequate statistical data which require expert analysis and assessment, there is a need to define a model that will include and coordinate statistical data and experts’ opinions. This article points o...
Read More