Papers
This section presents a collection of AHP/ANP papers. Whether you are a student, academic and/or professional in the field of decision making, you can help us expand this collection by sharing your papers on decision making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Analytic Network Process (ANP).
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Paper results for author: Luis Vargas
Origin of Neural Firing and Synthesis in Making Comparisons
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: European Journal of Pure and Applied MathematicsThe nervous system uses its own kind of mathematical function patterns for both external and internal realities. The conscious part of the nervous system is there to respond to what happens outside by regulating externally received information signals from the senses and the skin and muscles of t...
Read MoreA structured scientific solution to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict: the Analytic Hierarchy Process approach
Thomas Saaty, Luis Vargas, H. J. ZofferJournal: Decision AnalyticsWhile the Israeli–Palestinian conflict has raged for decades, in all of its ramifications there has never been a totally structured or scientific approach to the conflict with all of its details. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approaches the problem along these lines. There are a plethora o...
Read MoreThe Possibility of Group Choice: Pairwise Comparisons and Merging Functions
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Social Choice and WelfarePreferences in Arrow’s conditions are ordinal. Here we show that when intensity of preference represented by reciprocal pairwise comparisons is considered, it is always possible to construct an Arrowian social welfare function using a two-stage social choice process. In stage 1, the individual pa...
Read MoreA new approach to the middle east conflict: the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasWe present an alternative process to address the Israeli Palestinian conflict. It does so in two ways that are different from past efforts. The first is by formally structuring the conflict and the second is the manner in which discussions are conducted and conclusions drawn.
Read MoreThe possibility of group choice: pairwise comparisons and merging functions
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Social Choice and WelfarePreferences in Arrow’s conditions are ordinal. Here we show that when intensity of preference represented by reciprocal pairwise comparisons is considered, it is always possible to construct an Arrowian social welfare function using a two-stage social choice process. In stage 1, the individual pa...
Read MoreAddressing with brevity criticism of the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis Vargas, Rozann WhitakerJournal: International Journal of the Analytic Hierarchy ProcessThe paper provides an overview that covers the main criticisms of the AHP and the authors replies to them. Because there have been many papers that reply to criticisms, the thrust here is to classify them and reply to them briefly in each category without giving lengthy repetitions of what is alr...
Read MoreDispersion of group judgments
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Mathematical and Computer ModellingTo achieve a decision with which the group is satisfied, the group members must accept the judgments, and ultimately the priorities. This requires that (a) the judgments be homogeneous, and (b) the priorities of the individual group members be compatible with the group priorities. There are three...
Read MoreThe Analytic Hierarchy Process: wash criteria should not be ignored
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: International Journal of Management and Decision Making In this short paper it is shown that care is required to perform the appropriate normalisation needed to derive the right set of priorities from paired comparisons when criteria are added or deleted in a decision problem. This is particularly true for criteria with respect to which the alternativ...
Read MoreThe possibility of group welfare functions
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThis paper gives a brief overview of the well-known impossibility-possibility theorem in constructing a social welfare function from individual functions. The Analytic Hierarchy Process uses a fundamental scale of absolute numbers to represent judgments about dominance in paired comparisons. It i...
Read MoreThe allocation of intangible resources: the Analytic Hierarchy Process and linear programming
Thomas Saaty, Luis Vargas, Klaus DellmannJournal: Socio-Economic Planning SciencesAn intangible is an attribute that has no scale of measurement. Intangibles such as effort and skill arise in conjunction with resource allocation but are not usually included directly in a mathematical model because of the absence of a unit of measurement. However, intangibles can be quantified ...
Read MoreThe decision by the US congress on China’s trade status: a multicriteria analysis
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Models, Methods, Concepts & Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy ProcessIn this paper, we used a decision making tool, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), to analyze a decision to select a trade status for China that is in the best interest of the United States before that decision came before Congress for a vote.
Read MoreDiagnosis with dependent symptoms: Bayes theorem and the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Operations ResearchJudgments are needed in medical diagnosis to determine what tests to perform given certain symptoms. For many diseases, what information to gather on symptoms and what combination of symptoms lead to a given disease are not well known. Even when the number of symptoms is small, the required numbe...
Read MoreImplementing neural firing: towards a new technology
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Mathematical and Computer modellingFollowing earlier work on neural firing and synthesis, we use the expressions we derived elsewhere in the literature for that purpose, to show how we can represent images and sounds with the aid of CLOS (Common Lisp Object System) computer program of the LISP computer language.
Read MoreExamples of Difficulties with Ordinal Preferences that Disappear with Cardinal Preferences
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Proceedings of the Fourth International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (ISAHP’96)We examine some examples where the use of cardinal preferences solves problems that occur when ordinal preferences are used exclusively. Ordinal preferences are the first step toward ranking alternatives but they are not the last. In general we are interested in deriving a consistent ranking of a...
Read MoreRepresentation of visual response to neural firing
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Mathematical and computer modellingIn this note, we give examples of the use of linear combinations of impulse response functions to represent visual images. We also derive expressions for estimating the parameters of these functions using the Fourier transform of stimuli.
Read MoreA model of neural impulse firing and synthesis
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Journal of Mathematical PsychologyNeurons are decision makers that decide from instant to instant whether to fire or not to fire based on information received through neurotransmitter electric charge. In firing they accomplish two goals. First, they pass information to other neurons which in their turn make a decision to fire or ...
Read MoreExperiments on rank preservation and reversal in relative measurement
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Mathematical and computer modellingWe show through simulation that three methods of scaling, distributive (uniqueness is important), ideal (uniqueness is not important), and utility (use of interval scales for the ideal) modes, yield the same ranking of alternatives with surprisingly high frequency, except for the case of copies o...
Read MoreDirac distributions and threshold firing in neural networks
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Applied Mathematics LettersWe extend our earlier work on positive reciprocal kernels of Fredholm integral operators [9] to study firings and their synthesis in neural networks. First, we show that, in general, neural response in both spontaneous and non-spontaneous firing give rise to generalized functions of the Dirac t...
Read MoreThe Conflict in South Africa
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: The Logic of Priorities The domestic strife in South Africa between ruling whites and subordinated blacks threatens to become a major conflict of violent dimensions in the African continent. This strife is primarily a consequence of racial policies promulgated by the white apartheid regime. Donald Woods (1978) describes...
Read MoreUncertainty and rank order in the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: European Journal of Operational ResearchThe Analytic Hierarchy Process uses paired comparisons to derive a scale of relative importance for alternatives. We investigate the effect of uncertainty in judgment on the stability of the rank order of alternatives. The uncertainty experienced by decision makers in making comparisons is measur...
Read MoreNuclear balance and the parity index: The role of intangibles in decisions
Ami Arbel, Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and CyberneticsAn approach to understanding and assessing issues concerning arms control is presented. Arms control has two main objectives: (1) decreasing the possibility of a nuclear exchange; and (2) limiting the scope and intensity of such an exchange. A framework is presented for dealing with those issues ...
Read MoreStimulus-response with reciprocal kernels: The rise and fall of sensation
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Journal of Mathematical PsychologyThe paper presents a theory for constructing response scales based on the reciprocal property of paired comparisons of stimuli from the same sensory continuum. Reciprocal paired comparisons define the pair estimator function K(s, t), the kernel of a Fredholm integral equation of the second kind. ...
Read MoreInconsistency and rank preservation
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Journal of Mathematical PsychologyConditions for rank preservation in a positive reciprocal matrix that is inconsistent are provided. Three methods of deriving ratio estimates are examined: the eigenvalue, the logarithmic least squares, and the least squares methods. It is shown that only the principal eigenvector directly deals ...
Read MoreThe legitimacy of rank reversal
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: OmegaWE ARE GLAD to be finally'answering Belton and Gear's concerns expressed in their article in Omega [l]. There are two points they make in their letter. The first has to do with rank reversal, and the second with how to ask the question by minimizing fuzziness. Our response is organized into four ...
Read MoreComparison of eigenvalue, logarithmic least squares and least squares methods in estimating ratios
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Mathematical modellingThree methods—the eigenvalue, logarithmic least squares, and least squares methods—used to derive estimates of ratio scales from a positive reciprocal matrix are analyzed. The criteria for comparison are the measurement of consistency, dual solutions, and rank preservation. It is shown that the e...
Read MoreHigh‐level decisions: A lesson from the Iran hostage rescue operation
Thomas Saaty, Luis Vargas, Amos BarzilayWe use the analytic hierarchy process to analyze the role of subjective factors in decision making as illustrated in the Iran rescue operation. Essentially, we show that a decision maker and that decision maker's advisors may differ in their estimates on whether an action should or should not...
Read MoreThe Conflict in South Africa
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: The Logic of Priorities The domestic strife in South Africa between ruling whites and subordinated blacks threatens to become a major conflict of violent dimensions in the African continent. This strife is primarily a consequence of racial policies promulgated by the white apartheid regime. Donald Woods (1978) describes...
Read MoreOil prices: 1985 and 1990
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: The Logic of PrioritiesToday oil is the world’s major energy resource. It accounts for about 54 percent of the world’s total energy consumption. Because of conservation and the development of alternative resources in industrialized countries, the share of oil in the world’s total energy consumption is expected to decli...
Read MoreFinancial and intangible factors in fleet lease or buy decision
Luis Vargas, Thomas SaatyJournal: Industrial Marketing ManagementWe show that there is no single best solution in the leasing versus company ownership problem for the fleet administration industry as a whole. Because of the different styles and traditions of firms and because of the emphasis on intangibles beyond economics, a unifying framework of reference in...
Read MoreHierarchical analysis of behavior in competition: Prediction in chess
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Behavioral scienceIn this paper we use the analytic hierarchy process to combine technical and behavioral characteristics of chess players and predict the outcome of a championship match. The method also applies to decision making in living systems at the level of the group. Our approach to prediction deals with t...
Read MoreRationing energy to industries: priorities and input-output dependence
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: The Logic of PrioritiesA short time ago it was unthinkable and deemed an academic exercise to speak of rationing. People thought that there could be no crippling energy crisis because our energy czars and planners would presumably take our needs into their projections. Today the situation looks very different. Witness ...
Read MoreEstimating technological coefficients by the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Socio-Economic Planning SciencesWe give a summary and an example of a new, systems oriented, method for estimating the input-output coefficients of a given economy. Our approach is based on pairwise comparisons among the sectors of the economy ranking them according to their priority on a ratio scale. What we obtain corresponds...
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